Bay Area Real Estate Market Newsletter
 
Multi-Units
October 2001
 

Section VIIa - Multi-units

*San Mateo County*



AVAILABLE

May-01

Jun-01

 

Jul-01

Aug-01

Sep-01

 

Sep-00

Sep-99

Aug-99

DOI2,3

n/a

n/a

 

86.3

103.4

142.1

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

Inventory2

n/a

78

 

69

65

69

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

Sale/day2,3

n/a

n/a

 

0.94

0.63

0.49

R

n/a

n/a

n/a

DOM med2

n/a

69

C

81

69

70

I

n/a

n/a

n/a

DOM ave2

n/a

93

Y

108

108

113

C

n/a

n/a

n/a

 

 

 

N

 

 

 

H

 

 

 

SALES4

May-01

Jun-01

T

Jul-01

Aug-01

Sep-01

A

Sep-00

Sep-99

Aug-99

SP 0% min1

$485,000

$540,000

H

$375,000

$420,000

tbd

R

$343,000

$268,000

$282,000

SP 10%1

$540,000

$567,000

I

$430,000

$480,000

tbd

D

$444,000

$308,500

$315,000

SP 50%med1

$710,000

$762,000

A

$750,000

$685,000

tbd

C

$625,000

$463,125

$447,500

SP 90%1

$1,450,000

$1,000,000

H

$1,000,000

$933,000

tbd

A

$1,106,400

$568,050

$675,000

SP100%max1

$1,505,000

$1,100,000

A

$1,200,000

$1,700,000

tbd

L

$1,670,000

$1,055,000

$2,002,000

LP med2

$740,000

$787,475

I

$769,000

$674,475

$679,000

H

$620,000

$477,000

$469,000

SP/LP ave1

96.0%

96.0%

N

98.0%

98.0%

tbd

O

100.7%

99.9%

94.4%

%SP>LP1

18.2%

0.0%

E

6.7%

18.0%

tbd

U

41.4%

36.4%

19.2%

%SP<LP1

72.7%

80.0%

S

86.7%

55.0%

tbd

N

41.4%

59.1%

69.2%

DOM med2

28

38

@

59

39

25

@

44

18

35

DOM ave2

55

50

C

65

62

62

C

62

40

51

# Sales2

14

13

R

26

23

13

R

29

22

26

% TFT1

n/a

7.7%

E

26.9%

8.7%

tbd

E

n/a

n/a

n/a

 

 

 

E

 

 

 

E

 

 

 

CLOSINGS

May-01

Jun-01

K

Jul-01

Aug-01

Sep-01

K

Sep-00

Sep-99

Aug-99

SP 0% min2

$356,000

$445,000

S

$485,000

$375,000

$412,000

S

$343,000

$300,000

$330,000

SP 10%2

$485,500

$529,000

I

$576,000

$577,500

$485,600

I

$423,800

$355,800

$348,600

SP50% med2

$725,000

$720,500

D

$812,500

$757,500

$725,000

D

$740,000

$445,000

$450,000

SP 90%2

$1,193,000

$1,410,500

E

$1,460,000

$898,975

$997,600

E

$1,237,000

$676,000

$594,000

SP100%max2

$1,425,000

$1,700,000

R

$2,600,000

$1,100,000

$1,075,000

R

$4,150,000

$2,002,000

$975,000

LP med2

$725,000

$697,500

E

$862,000

$782,500

$749,000

E

$689,950

$459,000

$449,000

SP/LP ave2

100.3%

97.9%

A

96.2%

97.3%

98.7%

A

98.5%

99.4%

98.8%

%SP>LP2

47.6%

25.0%

L

8.3%

0.0%

23.1%

L

34.8%

40.7%

22.2%

%SP<LP2

28.6%

65.0%

T

58.3%

87.5%

53.8%

T

47.8%

48.1%

66.7%

DOM med2

16

20

Y

18

41

41

Y

38

19

26

DOM ave2

18

26

.

39

56

45

.

50

33

46

#Closings2

21

20

C

12

16

13

C

23

27

27

Updated#1

n/a

21

O

12

18

tbd

O

n/a

n/a

n/a

 

 

 

M

 

 

 

M

 

 

 

OFFMARKET

May-01

Jun-01

 

Jul-01

Aug-01

Sep-01

 

Sep-00

Sep-99

Aug-99

DOM med2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DOM ave2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

#Off mark2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1) Data related to sold price is re-compiled early during the current month to incorporate recent closings without delaying the BAREMN.

2) Data is compiled on the 5th day of following month to agree with MLS policy.

3) DOI & Sales per day calculations use recent sales activity.

4) The data is still subject to change as these sales continue to close and the sold prices are reported.

Warning - The real estate market is cyclical and there will continue to be additional ups and downs. Past performance cannot determine future performance. The purpose of the BAREMN is to give you current market conditions and not forecasting. Information is deemed to be reliable but not guaranteed.

Request your own copy by sending an email to Subscription@CreeksideRealty.com The data is gathered, compiled and published by Creekside Realty. Back editions are available at: http://www.creeksiderealty.com/market_update_new/market_index.htm.

Section VIIb - Multi-units

*San Mateo County*

AVAILABLE

May-01

Jun-01

 

Jul-01

Aug-01

Sep-01

 

Sep-00

Sep-99

DOI2,3

140.78

123.3

 

182.4

136.2

125.3

 

53.42

34.29

Inventory2

181

162

 

172

144

136

 

87

84

Sale/day2,3

1.29

1.31

 

0.94

1.06

1.09

R

2.28

2.50

DOM med2

n/a

66

C

68

77

65

I

n/a

n/a

DOM ave2

n/a

79

Y

86

93

85

C

 

 

 

 

 

N

 

 

 

H

 

 

SALES4

May-01

Jun-01

T

Jul-01

Aug-01

Sep-01

A

Sep-00

Sep-99

SP 0% min1

$349,950

$255,000

H

$370,000

$300,000

tbd

R

$400,000

$240,000

SP 10%1

$385,000

$443,000

I

$415,000

$400,000

tbd

D

$437,000

$327,500

SP 50%med1

$630,000

$675,000

A

$860,000

$575,000

tbd

C

$630,000

$500,000

SP 90%1

$1,120,000

$908,000

H

$1,200,000

$1,650,000

tbd

A

$909,000

$910,500

SP100%max1

$3,850,000

$1,800,000

A

$3,800,000

$3,800,000

tbd

L

$1,635,000

$3,100,000

LP med2

$650,000

$699,000

I

$885,000

$600,000

$650,000

H

$620,000

$509,475

SP/LP ave1

97.8%

95.1%

N

94.9%

98.0%

tbd

O

100.7%

100.1%

%SP>LP1

11.8%

6.3%

E

10.0%

20.0%

tbd

U

41.4%

41.7%

%SP<LP1

64.7%

81.3%

S

80.0%

70.0%

tbd

N

41.4%

36.1%

DOM med2

30

68

@

34

39

49

@

29

16

DOM ave2

41

69

C

44

63

68

C

43

38

# Sales2

38

39

R

28

35

31

R

45

36

% TFT1

5.3%

5.1%

E

10.7%

2.9%

tbd

E

n/a

n/a

 

 

 

E

 

 

 

E

 

 

CLOSINGS

May-01

Jun-01

K

Jul-01

Aug-01

Sep-01

K

Sep-00

Sep-99

SP 0% min2

$380,000

$349,950

S

$372,500

$255,000

$366,500

S

$335,000

$145,000

SP 10%2

$439,200

$391,250

I

$380,000

$460,100

$406,800

I

$437,200

$325,000

SP50% med2

$700,000

$632,500

D

$724,500

$702,500

$562,500

D

$729,500

$560,000

SP 90%2

$1,503,000

$1,348,500

E

$945,500

$953,000

$969,500

E

$1,261,200

$947,000

SP100%max2

$5,200,000

$4,300,000

R

$1,800,000

$1,280,000

$1,975,000

R

$2,350,000

$3,025,000

LP med2

$699,000

$644,975

E

$760,000

$733,725

$573,500

E

$732,000

$578,000

SP/LP ave2

97.8%

99.0%

A

95.9%

94.3%

97.8%

A

99.8%

98.2%

%SP>LP2

18.9%

14.7%

L

10.7%

7.1%

25.0%

L

30.8%

26.5%

%SP<LP2

51.4%

58.8%

T

67.9%

92.9%

62.5%

T

51.9%

59.2%

DOM med2

28

23

Y

41

51

43

Y

25

29

DOM ave2

42

38

.

53

67

57

.

40

56

#Closings2

37

34

C

28

28

24

C

52

49

Updated#1

n/a

36

O

28

29

tbd

O

n/a

n/a

 

 

 

M

 

 

 

M

 

 

OFFMARKET

May-01

Jun-01

 

Jul-01

Aug-01

Sep-01

 

Sep-00

Sep-99

DOM med2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DOM ave2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

#Off mark2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1) Data related to sold price is re-compiled early during the current month to incorporate recent closings without delaying the BAREMN.

2) Data is compiled on the 5th day of following month to agree with MLS policy.

3) DOI & Sales per day calculations use recent sales activity.

4) The data is still subject to change as these sales continue to close and the sold prices are reported.

Warning - The real estate market is cyclical and there will continue to be additional ups and downs. Past performance cannot determine future performance. The purpose of the BAREMN is to give you current market conditions and not forecasting. Information is deemed to be reliable but not guaranteed.

Request your own copy by sending an email to Subscription@CreeksideRealty.com The data is gathered, compiled and published by Creekside Realty. Back editions are available at: http://www.creeksiderealty.com/market_update_new/market_index.htm.

 

Section VIIc - Multi-units

Multi-unit (income) properties have been included for both San Mateo County (SMC) and Santa Clara County (SCC). Santa Cruz, Monterey and San Benito simply don't have enough data individually. Unfortunately, combining these counties doesn't work as they are too dissimilar to get meaningful results. This analysis uses the SCC data. However, you can look at the SMC data as you read this analysis and you will get a good understanding of the market conditions for SMC. The multi-unit market appears to follow the single-family market in their respective County with a time lag.

Available - data in this category is based on properties currently available for sale, status 1.
DOI at 125 for September is actually an improvement. Although good news, I believe it is more reflective of the small sample size and not a change in the market conditions.

Days on the market (DOM) for available listings actually decreased and has reached 65/85 (median/average) days.
DOI (125).is greater than average DOM (85).

Sales - data in this category is based on properties with an initiated sale (offer accepted) during the month.
September's media list price increased to $650,000. Because of the few sales, expect the median price to bounce quite a bit. The bounce for July is far greater than would be expected and demonstrates the danger of statistical analysis on a small sample. The July bounce could be explained by a couple of high-end (over $885,000) properties coming onto the market and selling quickly. As expected August median fell, to $600,000. Nearly a 33% drop in one month. A great example of the monthly fluctuation caused by which properties sell in a given month opposed to an indication of market trends. That is why it is critical to look at other indicators. Also this unusual bounce should show in the closing category in the next month or two. Reviewing all data contained in the BAREMN, prices appear to be at the same relatively level of last year.

Notice DOM for sales during the past five months; March 21/41; April 22/31; May 30/41; June 68/69 (surprisingly high); and July 34/44, August 39/63, and September 49/68.. In a stable market, DOI (now 125) would equal the average DOM (now 85). So expect DOM to continue to increase. The reason for the improvement in August despite this same condition is DOI hasn't been corrected to account for properties taken off the market without selling.

The number of sales/day during September remains level at 1.1 sales/day. Although good that it is not falling it is only ½ previous years levels.. Although monthly volume does not account for the weekly real estate cycle it is included for completeness as most other reports will compare monthly volume.

Percent of transactions fallen through ( %TFT) increased significantly from 1999 and 2000 to 2001.

Closings - data in this category is based on properties that closed escrow during the month.
September's median sold price has dropped to $562,500 and had been basically unchanged for five-months.

Fewer properties are selling over their asking price and more are selling below the asking price continues. Even in this buyer's market one in four properties are still selling over the asking price. I believe that most of the positive news could be explained by a few aggressively priced properties coming onto the market selling quickly and for more than the asking price.

September's closings at 24 are about 50% of last year's level. Updated# is an adjusted number of reported closings.

Request your own copy by sending an email to Subscription@CreeksideRealty.com The data is gathered, compiled and published by Creekside Realty. Back editions are available at: http://www.creeksiderealty.com/market_update_new/market_index.htm.


Warning - The real estate market is cyclical and there will continue to be additional ups and downs. Past performance cannot determine future performance. The purpose of the BAREMN is to give you current market conditions and not forecasting. Information is deemed to be reliable but not guaranteed.


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