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Bay
Area Real Estate Market Newsletter (“BAREMN”)
as of January 5, 2002
DOI
improved for SMC, SCC, and SZC but worsened for MTY & SBT. This is good news
as SMC & SCC tend to establish the trends. Inventory continued to decrease
but remains roughly double one year ago levels except for SZC which is only 30%
higher. The most positive news is the volume of sales. Although down from
November (which is normal because of the Holidays), sales are ABOVE December
2000. DOM continued to increase but remember that DOM is a lagging indicator.
Sold prices were flat opposed to falling. I believe that it is very significant
that all five Counties saw a slight improvement in the Sold price to List price
ratio. Remember prices are one of the last indicators to show changes in market
trends as they are reflective of what happened 90 days ago. Most indications are
positive. This means that the first quarter of 2002 could see significant
improvements including price appreciation. The market should be kept in
reasonable balance because of the 4,300 properties that came off the market
without selling during 2001 many of these
will come back on the market causing a higher than normal inventory.